Revisiting ENSO and IOD contributions to Australian precipitation
Liguori, G., McGregor, S., Singh, M., Arblaster, J., & Di Lorenzo, E. (2022). Revisiting ENSO and IOD contributions to Australian precipitation. Geophysical Research Letters, 49, 12 pp. doi:10.1029/2021GL094295
Tropical modes of variability, such as El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), exert a strong influence on the interannual variability of Australian precipitation. Nevertheless, commonly used indices of ENSO and IOD variability display significant co-variability tha... Show moreTropical modes of variability, such as El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), exert a strong influence on the interannual variability of Australian precipitation. Nevertheless, commonly used indices of ENSO and IOD variability display significant co-variability that prevents a robust quantification of the independent contribution of each mode to precipitation anomalies. This co-variability issue is often addressed by statistically removing ENSO or IOD variability from the precipitation field before calculating teleconnection patterns. However, by performing a suite of coupled and uncoupled modeling experiments in which either ENSO or IOD variability is physically removed, we show that ENSO-only-driven precipitation patterns computed by statistically removing the IOD influence significantly underestimate the impact of ENSO on Australian precipitation variability. Inspired by this, we propose a conceptual model that allows one to effectively separate the contribution of each mode to Australian precipitation variability. Show less