Abstract

This abstract describes the development of a "Hurricane Risk Calculator" to provide actionable information about potential hurricane impacts at a user’s specific location. A significant goal is to contextualize the potential risks and translate these into easily understandable forms to guide effe... Show moreThis abstract describes the development of a "Hurricane Risk Calculator" to provide actionable information about potential hurricane impacts at a user’s specific location. A significant goal is to contextualize the potential risks and translate these into easily understandable forms to guide effective evacuation decisions and optimize the timing of other protective actions. To this end, we established a “research collective” comprised of experts spanning the disciplines of meteorology, numerical modeling, verification, structural engineering, cloud computing, user design, social science, and human vulnerability. We aim to develop a framework that intersects real-time probabilistic predictions of hurricane hazards with probabilistic descriptions of vulnerability. The probabilistic risk obtained can then be used to guide risk-informed decisions through comparison of the risks of various alternatives. Show less