Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends
Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E., Kay, J. E., & Jahn, A. (2015). Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends. Nature Climate Change, 5, 86-89. doi:10.1038/nclimate2483
Internal climate variability can mask or enhance human-induced sea-ice loss on timescales ranging from years to decades. It must be properly accounted for when considering observations, understanding projections and evaluating models.
